No, that's not a new emoticon representing the emotions of a dazed Yosemite Sam.
It's brackets.
Even though the NCAA brackets don't lock until the tournament starts tomorrow around noon, I wanted to write a blog today explaining and/or talking myself out of some of my less chalky picks.
I'll start by saying that I don't know if my opinions on such things are valuable, especially since I've done considerably less research this season than in Marches past. But I have watched a lot of college basketball this season – mostly ACC and Big East since that's what's on – so I feel like my picks are a bit more informed than many of the millions of brackets that have and will be filled out before tomorrow's first jump.
First-round picks:
(9) Wake Forest over (8) Texas
Neither of these teams is particularly hot right now. Wake Forest has lost 5 of their last 6; Texas 9 of 16. This pick isn't particularly exciting or all that shocking, but I thought I'd include it since I think Ish Smith (Charles' new Chris Paul) will be a major difference in the game. Either way, I don't give the winner of this game much of a chance against Kentucky in round two.
(10) Georgia Tech over (7) Oklahoma State
I generally have a hard time picking against ACC teams, especially in early rounds. Of course, those are the teams I see the most of, so I suppose it's just a case of picking the (blue) devil I know rather than the one I don't. I'm sure Oklahoma State has some very good players. But I know that Georgia Tech has a great front line with Derrick Favors, Gani Lawal, and Zachery Peacock.
(12) Cornell over (5) Temple
I don't think I've watched a single minute of Cornell basketball this season. (Do camera crews even show up to Ivy League games or do they just set up a single stationary camera at the top of the bleachers like high school games?) But I've heard a lot about Cornell's smart (Ivy-League) play and experience over the past few days. I think Jay Bilas even put Cornell into his Final Four. I'm not willing to go that far, but I do have them as one of my 12-5 upsets.
(12) UTEP over (5) Butler
I said "one of," so obviously there is at least one more. I didn't even know what conference UTEP is in. And, again, I doubt I've seen any of their games this season. But I did see Derrick Character play at Louisville, and I'm surprised to see that he's not even UTEP's top scorer.
Second-round picks:
(12) UTEP over (4) Vanderbilt
Again, I like Character and UTEP. Vanderbilt, on the other hand, is a team I was able to watch this season but wasn't impressed with. A.J. Ogilvy, one of their key big men, struck me as moody and undisciplined: two traits that can get teams in trouble come tournament time.
(6) Xavier over (3) Pittsburgh
I really don't know anything about Xavier, but I like them here for some reason. This is one of those picks that I might need to second guess, but building good brackets is as often about chance or gut feelings as it is about research and knowledge. Or, at least, that's how I feel about it.
(5) Texas A&M over (4) Purdue
This isn't much of an upset, especially considering Purdue is playing without Robbie Hummel. In fact, I've seen a lot of first-round-loss predictions for the Hummel-less Boilermakers. I think they can get past Siena, but a deeper run will be unlikely. As a UNC fan, I feel for injury-plagued Purdue.
(5) Michigan State over (4) Maryland
I was surprised to see Michigan State with such a low seed and Maryland with such a high one. I'm hoping Michigan State justifies my surprise by taking down the Turtles.
Sweet Sixteen picks:
(4) Wisconsin over (1) Kentucky
I've watched a lot of Kentucky over this season, and I've watched a lot of Bo Ryan's Badgers in my lifetime. Here's my assessment, maybe the smartest thing I'll say all blog, maybe: a lot of Kentucky's mystique this season is based on their ability to come out and just punch their opponents in the mouth with their speed and athleticism. I think the initial push of the Wildcats' high-octane game is hard to recover from, which helps to protect Kentucky's young players when the minutes start to dwindle. Wisconsin, though, doesn't seem like a team that rattles easily. I'm not really that impressed with Wisconsin's talent, just their discipline. In fact, I don't think they could beat any other one seed or even two seed in this tournament, but I think they'd match up well against Kentucky.
(6) Xavier over (2) Kansas State
I should probably learn something about this Xavier team, since my brackets will be cheering for them for the next two weekends.
Elite Eight picks:
(2) Ohio State over (1) Kansas
I'm guessing, based on the name of his brackets ("Turner=Melo or Im Screwed"), that Bryan has this same pick, so maybe it's time to once again second guess myself. But, according to ESPN's brief write-up on Kansas, "If they have one weakness, it's when a perimeter shooting team drains 3s." That's where Jon Diebler and OSU's team .382 three-point shooting percentage come in. I'd feel even better about this pick if ESPN didn't follow that previous sentence with: "But isn't that everyone's weakness?"
(2) Villanova over (1) Duke
Bryan would blame this pick on the Jay Wright bubble, but I'm going to blame it on Duke's inability to improvise.
Final Four pick:
(2) West Virginia over (2) Ohio State
Both of these teams are very strong, and I think both have a good chance of playing in the final weekend (obviously). WVU, though, is a bit more balanced than OSU. Da'Sean Butler and Devin Ebanks may not be as skilled as Evan Turner, but I think they'd cause problems down low for the Buckeyes.
Championship game pick:
(1) Syracuse over (2) West Virginia
Scoreboard.
Quote of the Week:
"I wish it was Friday."
-Chuck Mead
March is one of the best months for Questions of the Week. Maybe I'll be motivated enough this Friday to write another blog, but I wish, instead, that it was Friday now, so I could post a Question of the Week about the tournament. If only I weren't so caught up in my own rules (but I am).
(By the way, I wrote a story on Chuck Mead that you can find here. When I planned this blog with this Quote of the Week, I knew it was from a country song, but I was guessing Alan Jackson. I think he's my go-to for country music trivia.)
(Also by the way, I recently reviewed MLB 10 The Show, which you can find here.)